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CLIVAR
/ IOC Indian Ocean Panel Meeting Report
Summary of
the Ocean in a High CO2 World Symposium
IGOS
Integrated Global Carbon Observation Theme Finalized
US Ocean Carbon and Climate Change Implementation
Strategy Published
GCOS 10 year implementation plan begins
review period
CLIVAR Atlantic Basin Panel Meeting - 20 June
To
submit an article or announcement, please contact
IOCCP
News Issue Number 1, August 2003
IOCCP News Issue Number 2, November 2003
IOCCP News Issue Number 3, February 2004
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CLIVAR / IOC Indian Ocean Panel Meeting Report
The
6th Asian-Australian Monsoon Panel and 1st Indian
Ocean Panel joint panel meeting was held from 18-20 February
at the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India. Bronte
Tilbrook, CSIRO Australia attended the meeting to represent the
carbon hydrography work in the region. This was the first meeting
of the group, and while the initial focus of the Panel is on the
Tropical Indian Ocean, the mandate of the IOP covers the whole Indian
Ocean basin and there are numerous activities in the region. The
IOP is currently developing a plan for a tropical mooring array
(15S to 10N). The initial design (courtesy G. Meyers) is shown in
the figure below.

Tilbrook
noted that while the coverage of the carbon lines is probably sufficient
for storage change measurements, we may need to optimize the lines
for transport estimates. The mooring array represents a good opportunity
to integrate CO2 measurements into the array at the beginning of
the planning process and the carbon community should stay closely
involved with the IOP. Dileep Kumar (NIO) has been leading work
on time series and underway measurements in the Arabian Sea and
Bay of Bengal, and his group will be a crucial focal point for these
future activities.
Tilbrook
submitted the following report, which will be integrated into the
IOP meeting report:
Carbon
and CLIVAR interactions in the Indian Ocean,
Bronte Tilbrook, CSIRO Marine Research, Hobart Australia.
The JGOFS/WOCE
CO2 survey of the oceans during the 1990's has dramatically improved
understanding of the ocean storage of anthropogenic CO2 and the
air-sea exchange of CO2. The results show that between 1800 and
1994 the anthropogenic CO2 storage in the Indian Ocean, north 50S,
is about 20 PgC of 118 +/- 19 PgC of the total ocean storage. Most
of the storage in the Indian Ocean is in mode and intermediate waters,
with the pattern being strongly influenced by the shallow overturning
circulation. Surface underway measurements of CO2 have also provided
the first patterns of the air-sea fluxes of CO2 in all the major
ocean basins. Carbon cycle researchers are building on these results
to develop a program aimed at documenting and understanding how
the air-sea exchange and storage of CO2 is evolving in the ocean.
The work is coordinated through the International Ocean Carbon Coordination
Project (IOCCP), which is jointly sponsored by IOC, SCOR, and the
Global Carbon Project. The IOCCP assists in the design and implementation
of the carbon research and in building links to IGBP and WCRP programs.
The research has two key observational themes; repeat hydrographic
sections and surface observations (time series and ship of opportunity).
Repeat
hydrographic section work aims to determine changes in CO2 storage
and associated transports on decadal scales. The work is closely
integrated with CLIVAR activities and is aligned with the Integrated
Marine Biogeochemistry and Ecosystem Research (IMBER) program of
IGBP and SCOR. Understanding the role of the overturning circulation
in controlling the storage pattern and how it might change will
benefit from interaction between CLIVAR and IOCCP. Information on
Indian Ocean sections planned or recently completed is available
at: http://ioc.unesco.org/ioccp/hydglobal.htm. Three sections with
CO2 measurements have been completed since 2000 in the subtropical
Indian Ocean. The USA proposes to complete meridional sections along
WOCE I9N and I7N in 2009 (Table 1). Chokepoint sections in the Indian
sector of the Southern Ocean are also planned by Australia (I9S,
2005) and the USA (I6S, 2008). The distribution of the sections
is designed to allow the storage to be calculated for the Indian
basin and most follow WOCE sections. Extra coverage in the tropical
Indian Ocean would be useful including a section across the Indonesian
throughflow.
| Section |
Country |
Status |
| Indian
Ocean DOTSS |
Australia,
CSIRO |
completed
2000 |
| I5
|
UK,
SOC |
completed
2002 |
| I3/I4 |
Japan,
JAMSTEC |
completed
2003 |
| I7N |
USA,
NOAA |
planned
2009 |
| I9N |
USA,
NOAA |
planned
2009 |
The surface
observation network aims to resolve seasonal to interannual changes
in the air-sea flux of CO2 on a basin scale to 0.2 PgC/yr. The work
is aligned with the Surface Ocean - Lower Atmosphere Study (SOLAS),
and the coverage in the Indian Ocean needs to be developed. The
French OISO program (Metzl, LBCM) has a winter-summer sampling program
in the central Indian Ocean between Reunion Island, Amsterdam Island
and Kerguelen Island. India carries out a program of time series
and underway measurements in the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal (Kumar,
NIO). With the exception of measurements on one Japanese cruise
each austral summer down east Indian Ocean (Hashida, NIPR) there
is no other routine coverage of surface carbon in the Indian Ocean.
Intergration of the CO2 measurements with XBT lines and new time
series moorings in the region are two ways to substantially improve
coverage.
Further
Reading:
Terms
of Reference for the CLIVAR / IOC Indian Ocean Panel (pdf)
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Summary of the Ocean in a High CO2 World
Symposium

Approximately
120 scientists gathered at the UNESCO headquarters in Paris, France
from May 10-12 to discuss the likely consequences of increasing
oceanic CO2 concentrations on marine biogeochemistry and ecosystems,
and the potential consequences of purposeful ocean carbon sequestration
activities. The symposium was designed to gather information about
the known impacts of increasing atmospheric CO2 on the ocean, to
develop research priorities to study these future impacts, and to
discuss what is known about the potential environmental impacts
of proposals to use the ocean to sequester excess atmospheric CO2.
Invited papers from the symposium are in preparation for publication
in a special issue of the Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans,
and research priorities outlined at the symposium will be published
separately. The Program and Abstract book are now available on the
symposium Web-site.
The symposium
generated a great deal of enthusiasm and the planning committee
is preparing both a press release for the general public and a brief
technical communication for publication in a scientific journal.
The limited
observations, research, and modeling conducted to date predict that
in a high-CO2 world, the ocean is likely to be more acidic, more
stratified, have lower concentrations of surface nutrients, less
oxygen, and phytoplankton will experience increased exposure to
sunlight at the surface ocean as a result of weakened vertical mixing.
These changes are likely to have significant impacts on many species
and change the composition of biological communities in ways that
are not yet understood or predictable. Taken
together with temperature increases from increasing atmospheric
CO2 concentrations, many present-day coral reefs may be eliminated
by 2050.
On the
issue of ocean carbon sequestration, symposium participants concluded
that, although much progress has been made in understanding potential
effectiveness and effects of ocean carbon sequestration through
iron fertilization experiments and modeling studies, the level of
our knowledge is presently insufficient to assess the environmental
impacts or effectiveness of these techniques. This type of information
is needed to evaluate large-scale commercial ocean carbon sequestration
activities. Unfortunately, it has become clear that some commercial
companies are not be willing to wait for the necessary research
to be completed, and may attempt to demonstrate their effectiveness
without regard to potential and long-term environmental impacts.
The scientific community must be able to respond to questions of
potential impacts and benefits of proposed mitigation techniques,
and to the perhaps more serious issue of the ecosystem impacts we
will see as a result of the current trend toward an increasingly
acidic ocean.
There
were many suggestions for follow-up activities and research priorities
outlined at the symposium. The final report of the symposium is
being prepared and will be made widely available as soon as possible.
Further
reading:
Symposium
Web-site
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IGOS
Integrated Global Carbon Observation Theme Finalized
At
the recent meeting of the Committee on Earth Observing Satellites
(CEOS-SIT 14) and the Integrated Global Observing Strategy (IGOS)
Partnership, the Integrated Global Carbon Observation (IGCO) Theme
was finalized and published. The IGCO Theme Team has now been requested
to produce a 5 years implementation plan. A new IGCO implementation
steering committee is being formed under the direction of the IGCO
Chair, Philippe Ciais. IGOS has requested this document to be prepared
within 1 year in order to contribute to the Global
Earth Observations process. NOTE: The IOCCP Project Office
has a limited number of hard-copies of the report. Please contact
Maria Hood (m.hood@unesco.org) to receive a copy.
Further
reading:
The
Integrated Global Carbon Observation Theme: A strategy to realise
a coordinated system of integrated global carbon cycle observations.
(pdf 2.5 MB)
IGOS
Partners / IGCO Web Site
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US Ocean Carbon
and Climate Change Implementation Strategy Published
The US
Carbon Cycle Science Program has released the Ocean Carbon and Climate
Change (OCCC): An Implementation Strategy for U.S. Ocean Carbon
Research, prepared for the U.S. Carbon Cycle Scientific Steering
Group and the Interagency Working Group, by the Carbon Cycle Ocean
Interim Implementation Group, Scott C. Doney, Chair and Editor.
This implementation strategy outlines plans for the global ocean
carbon observing network, multi-disciplinary process studies, data
synthesis and numerical modeling activities, technology development,
and international coordination. An interim scientific steering committee
is being formed and the establishment of Project and Data Management
Offices is being planned.
Further
Reading:
Implementation
Strategy (posted on US CCSP Web)
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GCOS
10 year implementation plan begins review period

A draft
Implementation Plan for the Global Observing Systems for Climate
in Support of the UNFCCC has been prepared in response to a request
from the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) at its ninth session, held
in Milan, Italy from 1 to 12 December 2003. The plan has been developed
by a group of authors under the leadership of GCOS, and in cooperation
with its partners. The plan is being made available for open review
by governments and scientists through direct notification and through
this posting on the GCOS Web site.
Comments
are invited, but must be submitted to the GCOS Secretariat (gcosjpo@wmo.int)
no later than 9 July 2004, in order that the document can be finalized
for submission to SBSTA at its twenty-first session later this year.
Please refer to the paragraph numbers in the document when submitting
proposed additions, deletions or other modifications.
The IOCCP,
working with the GCOS-GOOS-WCRP Ocean Observations Panel for Climate,
submitted observing system information for the ocean carbon activities
listed in the plan. Please send any comments on these activities
directly to the IOCCP Project Coordinator (m.hood@unesco.org).
Further
Reading:
GCOS
Draft Implementation Plan for the Global Observing Systems for Climate
(on GCOS Web)
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CLIVAR
Atlantic Basin Panel Meeting - 20 June
The
CLIVAR Atlantic Implementation Panel will hold its annual meeting
on 20 June, in Baltimore, Maryland, during the 1st International
CLIVAR Science Conference. Arne Koertzinger will be replaced by
Rik Wanninkhof as the ocean carbon community representative.
If anyone
has specific issues or concerns for CLIVAR ocean carbon activities
in the Atlantic, please contact Maria
Hood or Rik Wanninkhof
.
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If
you would like to join the IOCCP mailing list, please send a message
with "subscribe" (no quotes) as the subject to mailinglist@ioccp.org.
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